Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.889737 8.871866 10.036759 11.553391 13.530208 16.107612 19.895695
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.469959 8.949728 10.938345 13.981909 18.936652 27.792324 49.557206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.535783 8.152599 10.514879 14.596495 22.678930 43.373061 189.258316
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.121090 7.982098 10.976677 17.024488 33.260178 133.759314 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.670461 7.668654 11.162272 19.369440 51.660720 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.080670 7.018246 10.580057 19.833543 70.765550 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.541590 6.361327 9.820931 19.481631 91.956289 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.405799 6.385805 10.486757 24.534958 770.521693 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.441079 6.743024 12.138637 38.832250 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.289371 6.707405 12.868839 55.087389 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.088838 6.531045 13.158679 75.489790 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.858323 6.247009 13.004638 95.719567 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.590022 5.881088 12.605615 122.718638 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.423044 5.723032 12.935934 275.083613 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.118532 5.189904 11.587570 195.679710 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.955889 4.977301 11.469371 394.037234 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.790562 4.732877 11.125486 870.991195 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.587763 4.370088 10.150734 456.266222 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.397342 4.020314 9.161684 233.467439 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.336090 3.981660 9.490380 2679.349856 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.332929 4.089326 10.590062 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.271932 4.037070 10.914619 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.196081 3.933731 10.918094 NaN NaN NaN NaN